Global banking giant Standard Chartered has made a striking prediction for Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. According to the bank’s Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, Bitcoin is anticipated to climb to $135,000 by the conclusion of the third quarter and could potentially surpass $200,000 by the end of the year. This forecast has generated significant discussion among investors and market analysts regarding its feasibility.
Analyst Outlines Bullish Bitcoin Price Trajectory
Standard Chartered has built a reputation for its optimistic outlook on Bitcoin’s future value. Geoff Kendrick, leading the bank’s digital asset research, recently reinforced this perspective with specific near-term targets. He projects that Bitcoin will achieve $135,000 in Q3 2025 before advancing to $200,000 in the final quarter.
This analysis is rooted in a thorough evaluation of prevailing market conditions and the accelerating pace of institutional adoption within the cryptocurrency sector. Despite the inherent price volatility associated with Bitcoin, the bank emphasizes that strong underlying fundamentals are expected to fuel this projected growth.
Shifting Patterns in Bitcoin’s Halving Cycle Dynamics
A key aspect of Standard Chartered’s analysis involves the Bitcoin halving—a pre-programmed event that occurs approximately every four years, cutting the reward for mining new blocks in half. Historically, this event has triggered a substantial price increase shortly thereafter, typically followed by a downturn around 18 months later.
However, Kendrick suggests the current market cycle is diverging from this established pattern. He argues that the traditional model, which would have predicted a price decline in late 2025, may no longer apply. “Thanks to increased investor flows,” Kendrick stated, “we believe BTC has moved beyond the previous dynamic whereby prices fell 18 months after a ‘halving’ cycle.” This shift is largely attributed to powerful new market forces.
Institutional Investment and ETF Influence on BTC Value
A central pillar supporting this bullish forecast is the substantial inflow of institutional capital. The successful launch and performance of Spot Bitcoin ETFs have provided a streamlined and regulated pathway for major financial players to gain exposure to Bitcoin. This sustained demand from ETFs is seen as a critical driver for pushing prices upward.
Furthermore, a growing trend of corporations adding Bitcoin to their treasury reserves has emerged. Recent reports indicate that several companies have collectively acquired thousands of Bitcoin, signaling strong confidence in its long-term value as a treasury asset. Kendrick directly linked this activity to his price prediction, noting, “We expect prices to resume their uptrend, supported by continued strong ETF and Bitcoin treasury buying.” For those tracking these developments, 👉 monitor real-time institutional flow data can provide valuable insights.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Standard Chartered’s specific Bitcoin price prediction?
The bank’s analyst, Geoff Kendrick, forecasts that Bitcoin will reach $135,000 by the end of Q3 2025 and could rise to $200,000 by the conclusion of the year.
Why does this prediction differ from historical halving cycle patterns?
Historically, Bitcoin’s price often declined 18 months after a halving. The current analysis suggests that unprecedented institutional investment and ETF inflows have fundamentally altered this cycle, preventing the expected downturn.
What are the main factors driving this optimistic outlook?
The primary drivers include sustained demand from Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), increased accumulation of BTC by corporate treasuries, and a broader wave of institutional adoption that creates a new type of buying pressure.
How reliable are price predictions from large banks like Standard Chartered?
While analyses from established institutions are based on extensive market research, all price forecasts are ultimately speculative. They provide a perspective based on current data but cannot guarantee future outcomes in a highly volatile market.
Should investors use this prediction to make financial decisions?
Absolutely not. This information is for educational purposes only. Every individual must conduct their own thorough research and consult with independent financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The cryptocurrency market is known for its high risk and volatility.
What is a Bitcoin halving and how does it usually affect price?
A Bitcoin halving is an event where the reward for mining new blocks is cut in half, reducing the rate at which new coins are created. It has typically been followed by a period of significant price appreciation due to the reduced new supply entering the market.